"At constant fertility, Israel will have more young people by the end of this century than either Turkey or Iran, and more than German, Italy or Spain.A comforting lie that people (on any side of any issue) like to tell themselves is that time is on their side. We shall see.
"Not that the size of land armies matters much in an era of high-tech warfare, but if present trends continue, Israel will be able to field the largest land army in the Middle East. That startling data point, though, should alert analysts to a more relevant problem: among the military powers in the Middle East, Israel will be the only one with a viable population structure by the middle of this century.
"That is why it is in America's interest to keep Israel as an ally. Israel is not only the strongest power in the region; in a generation or two it will be the only power in the region, the last man standing among ruined neighbors. The demographic time bomb in the region is not the Palestinian Arabs on the West Bank, as the Israeli peace party wrongly believed, but rather Israel itself. "
Sunday, May 29, 2011
A Different Projection of the Future
This article is a little bit old, and I must confess that I have forgotten where that I found it, but it is important because it is about a study of trends in the Middle East, and that the future may not favor Israel's enemies as much as they would like you to think:
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The Arab World has huge problems. They need to be solved and so far Arab leaders have successfully deflected attention away from them by blaming Israel.
ReplyDeleteBut economic stagnation, illiteracy, discrimination against women and minorities and religious extremism keep it from joining the 21st Century.
The Arab Spring revealed how widespread the problems are and yet nothing is being done to address them.
The Arab World may find time is not on its side.